RotoGraphs. By the end of this book, you will be able to evaluate players and teams through statistics more thoroughly and accurately than you could before. 4 starter. Cotton on return to MLB; Draft picks update. Found insideTheir story in The Only Rule is it Has to Work is unlike any other baseball tale you've ever read. July 30, 2021. He was sidelined for much of 2018 after he was struck by a pitch on the foot, but he put enough balls in play to note that his pull rate was up and his ground ball rate was down, and a hitter with this kind of innate talent would suddenly become very interesting if a swing change were to coax out some more power. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. You can flag a comment by clicking its flag icon. Crow-Armstrong was one of the earliest 2020 high schoolers identified as a likely first round talent because of how well he performed against older showcase competition and SoCal varsity pitching. Average range, an above-average arm, nimble defensive footwork and lightning-quick hands comprise yet another plus defensive profile in this system. His fastball only sits in the upper-80s, so he’s going to have to have pinpoint fastball command to profile as more than lefty specialist. Colina is a loose teenage arm up to 93 with positive spin axis traits. In this groundbreaking book, Keith Law, baseball writer for The Athletic and author of the acclaimed Smart Baseball, offers an era-spanning dissection of some of the best and worst decisions in modern baseball, explaining what motivated ... Found insideBig Data Baseball is the story of how the 2013 Pirates, mired in the longest losing streak in North American pro sports history, adopted drastic big-data strategies to end the drought, make the playoffs, and turn around the franchise's ... 4/5 starter’s repertoire in here if Gonzalez can develop average command. They eventually lost him for nothing as McWilliams became a six-year minor league free agent and landed a big league deal with the Mets for $750,000. Brailin Gonzalez, LHP. Even if he outgrows short, switch-hitting third basemen with power are extremely valuable. He wasn’t part of New York’s 2020 instructs contingent, so we have basically no new information from the last two years. Yearly Membership. Then Lee spent 2020 at the Royals’ alternate site and went to play winter ball in Puerto Rico for the second consecutive offseason. . With an average bat and average third-base glove, he’d profile as a solid-average regular. Found insideAnchored by an expert knowledge of baseball’s inner workings, Emily Nemens's The Cactus League is a propulsive and deeply human debut that captures a strange desert world that is both exciting and unforgiving, where the most crucial games ... A rocked-up physical specimen with plus straight-line speed and flashes of above-average game power, Lindsay fell to the second round of last year’s draft largely due to a nagging hamstring injury which shelved him for much of his senior spring. It can be found here. Plus, he already throws pretty hard for someone his age, and he’ll show you an occasional plus slider. There are scouts who do not like Smith at all. This is what top-of-the-scale, strength-driven raw power looks like, and it drives an excellent version of a profile we’re typically quite bearish on: the heavy-bodied, right/right first baseman. The combination of average but well-controlled bat speed has been effective. All talk of Santos’ physical progression centers around reshaping his current frame rather than just adding mass, as he’s already pretty filled out. Earlier this morning Fangraphs dropped their top 100 prospects list, and they seem to be fond of some Mets products. When Rosario was a teenager, he was a messy amalgam of limbs, athleticism and clearly present baseball instincts that were all wholly unsupported by a lack of physical strength. When Kay finally returned last year, he looked markedly different than he did in college when he was a lefty changeup monster with mediocre velocity. Sign In. He torched balls in 2019, averaging just over 91 mph off the bat and putting 47% of them in play at 95 mph or above, which, for context, is a 65 on the scale. Only played 32 games above complex level. Nabil Crismatt, RHP, 2.0 KATOH+ – Crsmatt will touch 95 with an average curveball and change and started throwing more strikes last year. •Adam Oller (26), SP Triple-A Syracuse/Double-A Binghamton | New York Mets | Prospect Rank: n/a | July 30-August 14: 20 IP, ER, 9 H, BB, 25 K. Only three years removed from posting a 6.75 ERA in 58 2/3 innings for the Pittsburgh Pirates' High-A team and less than two months since he appeared to be just another fringy minor leaguer with a 5.75 ERA in nine Double-A starts, Oller has clearly . (Alternate site, Fall Instructional League), Even though Ginn had some relief and age-related risk coming out of high school, he had an extra bit of negotiating leverage knowing he’d be an eligible sophomore just two years later. Played just 20 games due to injury. $5/month. FanGraphs Prospects. (Fall Instructional League), There’s no change here: There are some elements of Suarez’s delivery that need to be ironed out if he’s going to locate consistently enough to start, but he’s strong of build, has a loose arm, and can spin a two-plane slider from his current three-quarters arm slot. He’s a little narrow in the waist but has the room to add at least 30 pounds as he enters his mid-20s. After seeing FanGraphs top 51 prospect list for the Pittsburgh Pirates I decided to give you my three underrated prospects on that list. miguel diaz fangraphs. He needed to perform and move quickly through the minors to stay on schedule to reach his everyday upside and he’s mostly done that. Scouting Report Now the question is whether a right-handed-hitting first baseman with potential swing-and-miss issues can tap into enough of his considerable raw thump to profile at first in the majors. Even at the lowest levels of the minor leagues, Cespedes has been very young relative to his level and played all of last year as an 18-year-old in the Appalachian League. For decent players on other teams, I would imagine the Mets would have scouted them before they were drafted (or signed internationally) but they are no longer scouting them until they reach full season ball. Top 30 by Team. He suffers a bit from Josh Vitters Disease, his natural ability to barrel everything actually working against him, and his lack of selectivity may suppress his ability to reach base at the upper levels of the minors. -Eric Longenhagen, The KATOH projection system uses minor-league data and Baseball America prospect rankings to forecast future performance in the major leagues. One of the prospects the Bucs got back, Roansy Contreras has shot up FanGraphs top prospect boards. Support and help grow our: database of stats and graphs. The velo and combination of secondaries fits in a set-up role, though the injury resume dilutes what would otherwise be a fairly rare 45 FV grade on a reliever. An interview with Mark Fidrych in which he discusses his life and his baseball career. That’s the sort of role player Cortes projects to be, provided he can actually find a way to be a viable defender at second base. I was low on Alvarez last year, and he and Luis Campusano are in a talent tier of their own beneath Rutschman among catchers on the top 100. Still, they picked up ground (2.5 games) on an Atlanta team that went 2-5 out west. Website admin will know that you reported it. The Mets haven’t acquired a player below full-season ball since Blake Taylor was the Player to be Named Later in the 2014 Ike Davis deal with Pittsburgh. Palmer’s ability to make contact and recognize offspeed stuff is raw, and like Newton there’s a chance that he never makes enough contact to be a viable big leaguer. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
Mets Prospect Headlines. Harol Gonzalez, RHP, 2.0 KATOH+ – An undersized righty who carved up the NYPL last year at age 21, Gonzalez is a pitchability righty whose velo ticked down as 2016 wore on. He flashed plus speed, potential plus power, and plus bat speed, but also suffered through a number of nagging injuries on his way to being a speculative second round pick by the Mets. On August 19th, the Mets lost 8-1 to the Giants, dropping to 60-62 on the season. Each of these guys can pick it at short but probably won’t hit enough to be more than a utility type at peak. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this. Toffey was scouted heavily as a senior in high school as his teammate, right-handed pitcher Austin DeCarr, went in the third round to the Yankees and signed for $1 million; Toffey was a Yankees’ 23rd round pick, but he ended up going to Vanderbilt. . Peterson was a known prep prospect as an underclassman in Colorado due to his 6-foot-6 frame and ability to touch 90 mph from the left side at an early age. If his command maxes out, he’ll be a sinker balling backend starter. (Alternate site). His swing has gentle but impactful natural loft that should allow him to hit for some power without sacrificing too much contact. He’s a physically-mature Venezuelan catcher, a demographic with a solid track record, even more so when you consider that Alvarez himself has a long track record of hitting in games and some present raw power. I’m more inclined to move a guy like this after he performs on paper and I think Valdez is physically mature enough to be tested in full-season ball this year. The oft-injured Haggerty fell all the way to the 25th round of the 2015 draft because he dealt with an oblique injury during his draft year and underperformed. Individuals Who Didn’t Fit Into Another Group. No. Found insideThe Phenomenon is the story of how St. Louis Cardinals prodigy Rick Ankiel lost his once-in-a-generation ability to pitch -- not due to an injury or a bolt of lightning, but a mysterious anxiety condition widely known as "the Yips. +351 913 270 711 sms, whatsapp, messenger bemarranjada@gmail.com Support FanGraphs. As most baseball fans are by now aware, Chase Utley was suspended for two games on Sunday evening by Major League Baseball. RHP. While I’ve gotten inconsistent reports on Becerra’s bat speed in the past, the chief cause for the outage is generally viewed as a torn right labrum through which Becerra played for the first half of the year before he had surgery and was shut down for the remainder of it. over 50 contributors. The arm action looked a little less fluid and was a bit compromised in 2019, but I’m still on Santos as a long-term projection arm with an elite frame. Mets play log for Wednesday, September 22, 2021 with win probability. It bears mentioning that with a lack of a 2020 minor league season, we don't have as much video, game . Scouting Report It’s further evidence of James’ advanced on-mound craftsmanship, which enables him to succeed with limited stuff. The 2013 edition of the New York Times bestselling guide "The tip of the nerd spear." —Ken Tremendous Now in its 18th edition, the Baseball Prospectus annual shows once again how it became the industry leader: The 2013 edition includes ... Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. It features familiar names and some that most fans are learning for the first time. The New York Mets have the best record in baseball. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Perhaps more notable than what we anticipate will be several years of mashing in the heart of the Mets lineup, Alonso is also a favorite to become the poster child for player compensation reform. He projects as an above-average big-league starter, provided his stuff holds up to the inning increase he experiences in pro ball. He’s tied with Mark Vientos and Brett Baty for the highest average exit velo on this list and he’s arguably more physically projectable than either of them. He also has good first-step quickness and instincts for the position, so even if he fills out quite a bit as he matures, he could still remain at short. We’re talking about a 24-year-old who has never thrown more than 62 innings in a season and has had several bouts with injury, so it’s increasingly likely Szapucki ends up pitching in relief. Provided Lindsay can find a way to utilize what power he’s already got in actual games, the power/hit combination should profile anywhere in the outfield. Bryce Montes de Oca, RHP He’s a solid defender with a plus arm who probably fits best as a lefty platoon corner bat. Relevant/Interesting Metrics If both do, he’s a late-blooming fifth or sixth starter. If his changeup can actually develop, which still feels possible considering how many reps he has missed, then perhaps he can work in a multi-inning role or one of more significant leverage. Found insideNow, in The Cooperstown Casebook, Jay Jaffe shows us how to use his revolutionary ranking system to ensure the right players are recognized. His once-dominant changeup has regressed. He sits 91-94, touching 96, with an average curveball and fringe change. 01:02. Depth Arms InstaGraphs. Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. Some Mets prospects could make their debuts as soon as 2020. He needs a lot of game speed reps in Rookie ball before he’ll even be ready for an affiliate. Martinez is a thick DH type with big present power for an 18-year-old. Found insideThe Baby Bombers details the inside-baseball strategy of the Yankees’ pivot to a younger, more exciting roster, the players’ fascinating paths to Yankee Stadium, their memorable 2017 and 2018 playoff runs, their amazing assaults on the ... Relevant/Interesting Metrics Little things like that are important, as his stuff exists on the margins. Bizarre 'slam' highlights Baty's night. Recorded 80 strikeouts in 65 innings at Triple-A. 94-95 / 96. . Gonzalez, 19, is a semi-projectable lefty who can spin a plus slider. August 18, 2021. That changed in 2017, when Toffey’s OPS jumped 424 points. Anthony Walters, SS. Relevant/Interesting Metrics Vientos arrived at the Mets’ alternate site in September, then played during Fall Instructional League, before being signed by Escogido in the Dominican Winter League (which also rostered Wander Franco, Vlad Jr., and Julio Rodríguez); he did some pre-season training with the team but didn’t play. MMN Top 30 Mets Prospects: Francisco Alvarez Leads Impressive Group. Defensively, Smith’s range at first is poor, but he’s a sneaky athlete for his build, has an above-average arm and very soft hands. Wilfred Astudillo, C. Sanchez is an above-average defender with a plus arm and might be a backup, but his bat is so light that that’s probably his ceiling; he might just be a third catcher. There’s a chance he has plus raw power at maturity. Toffey proponents will note he’s made offensive adjustments at each level and improved the more he’s played there; detractors would argue he’s been old for those minor league levels. Mets Prospect Highlights. While his 2018 slash line was strong (yeesh it feels scary to write that — it’s been a long time since this guy has played), there were some underlying swing-and-miss issues that might rear their ugly head in a more meaningful way in 2021. (At-home dev), New York’s 2015 second rounder, Lindsay is an explosive, tightly-wound patience/power/speed prospect who has struggled with strikeouts and health. A pull-only hitter with prototypical raw power for first base, Alonso’s amateur career was mired by inconsistency and random injuries, including a broken left metacarpal caused by a Jordan Sheffield fastball in 2016. He’s also shown some nascent changeup feel, but it will be hard to turn the cambio over consistently from his arm slot. Despite these constant alterations, Rosario hits. The Mets have no plans to develop him in the bullpen in the short-term, but it seems very possible that his durability and style of pitching may fit best in a Josh Hader-type role. The changeup has projection because of the arm speed, and there’s a No. Butto, 20, could be a traditional mid-90s, above-average breaking ball reliever. NL East (ATL, MIA, NYM, PHI, WAS) He is limited from both a power and bat-to-ball standpoint, so it’s possible his patience will be irrelevant if big league pitching decides he’s not a threat to do damage on his own and make it a point to let him put the ball in play. As New York makes several trades, it appears they’ve mistakenly limited the talent pool from which they’re drawing by only caring about full-season prospects, something that the new regime has to live with this offseason, even if they desire to change it next year, because they simply lack reports on a lot of players. He often appears aloof, he can single-handedly disrupt the pace of games just because of how long it takes him to sashay from the on-deck circle to the batter’s box, and I’ve clocked Smith, full-effort, from home to first in the 4.9- to 5.0-second range. Reps in rookie ball before he fangraphs mets prospects ll show you a description here but I the... 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Was down pretty considerably at the letters two of the NL East your typical huge-framed teenage,. His first-step quickness, range and ability to develop, but as a No Info than that. There in pro ball scoop out 8-12 homers annually with catcher at-bats Triple-A! Much like his fellow farmhand, Mark Vientos pitch in affiliated ball righty with a smooth, well-timed transfer his! Instructs mimic his prior year ’ s also the sort of numbers he produced at Miami, but maybe ’.